Home โ€บ Guides

How to Improve Your Chances of Winning Competitions

Last updated 9 October 2026

In short: every draw is random, so nobody can guarantee a win — but you can make smarter choices. Your chance is simply your tickets divided by the tickets in the draw. Pick competitions with smaller caps, look for instant wins, always get the skill question right, and set a budget you’re happy to spend.

There’s no secret trick to winning a prize competition — the winning ticket is chosen at random, and anyone who tells you otherwise is selling something. What you can do is understand how your chance is worked out and make choices that give you a better shot for your money. Here’s how.

1. Understand the simple maths

Your chance of winning a main draw is:

your tickets ÷ total tickets in the draw

So 5 tickets in a competition capped at 1,000 tickets is a 1 in 200 chance if it sells out. The same 5 tickets in a competition capped at 100,000 is 1 in 20,000. Same spend, very different chance.

Your ticketsTicket capYour chance if it sells out
51,0001 in 200
510,0001 in 2,000
5100,0001 in 20,000
2010,0001 in 500

2. Choose smaller competitions

Look at the maximum number of tickets on every competition page. Smaller competitions for modest prizes often give you a much better chance than headline prizes with huge caps. If a modest car or a cash prize would make you just as happy, it can be the smarter entry.

3. Look at how many tickets have actually sold

If a competition doesn’t sell out, the real number of entries can be lower than the cap. The competition page shows how many tickets have gone so far, which tells you how busy the draw is likely to be.

4. Use instant wins

Competitions with instant-win prizes give you two chances from one ticket: an instant prize the moment you buy, plus the main draw. Competitions with lots of instant prizes produce many more winners overall. Check which instant prizes are still available before you enter.

5. Never lose an entry on the skill question

A wrong answer means that entry doesn’t count — paid or free. Take a moment, read the question properly and check your answer. It’s the easiest entry to throw away.

6. Use the free postal route

A free postcard entry goes into the same draw on equal terms. It won’t change the maths, but it adds entries without spending more than a stamp. See our free postal entry guide and the instructions in our terms.

7. Set a budget, and keep it

The best strategy is one you’re still happy with if you don’t win. Decide how much you’re comfortable spending each month, spread it across competitions you genuinely want to win, and stop when you reach it. If it stops being fun, take a break — our responsible play page explains the options.

Myths to ignore

  • “Buying at a certain time helps.” It doesn’t — the draw is random.
  • “Some numbers are luckier.” Every ticket has the same chance.
  • “You’re due a win.” Each draw is independent of the last.

Because every Nitrous main draw is live and every entry list is published on the results page, you can see for yourself that the draw is random.

Choose your next competition wisely. Browse the live competitions, watch a live draw or check past winners and entry lists. 18+ UK only. Please play responsibly — see our responsible play page.

Frequently asked questions

How do I work out my chance of winning?

Divide the number of tickets you hold by the total number of tickets in the draw. Five tickets in a competition capped at 1,000 is a 1 in 200 chance if it sells out.

Do more tickets improve my chance?

Yes, each ticket is another entry, but your chance also depends on how many tickets are in the draw. Smaller competitions can give a better chance for the same spend.

Is there a trick to winning?

No. Draws are random. You can make smarter choices โ€” smaller caps, instant wins, correct answers and the free postal route โ€” but nobody can guarantee a win.

Does the free postal route really have the same chance?

Yes. A correctly completed postal entry goes into the same draw on equal terms with paid entries.